if (!$mask) { file_put_contents($pathname, $message . "\n", FILE_APPEND);
file_put_contents - [internal], line ??
Cake\Log\Engine\FileLog::log() - CORE/src/Log/Engine/FileLog.php, line 140
Cake\Log\Log::write() - CORE/src/Log/Log.php, line 392
Cake\Log\Log::warning() - CORE/src/Log/Log.php, line 477
DebugKit\ToolbarService::isSuspiciouslyProduction() - ROOT/vendor/cakephp/debug_kit/src/ToolbarService.php, line 169
DebugKit\ToolbarService::isEnabled() - ROOT/vendor/cakephp/debug_kit/src/ToolbarService.php, line 105
DebugKit\Plugin::bootstrap() - ROOT/vendor/cakephp/debug_kit/src/Plugin.php, line 48
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::pluginBootstrap() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 182
Cake\Http\Server::bootstrap() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 111
Cake\Http\Server::run() - CORE/src/Http/Server.php, line 79
[main] - ROOT/webroot/index.php, line 40
Notice: file_put_contents() [function.file-put-contents]: Write of 1108 bytes failed with errno=28 No space left on device in /www/wwwroot/www.adminso.com/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Log/Engine/FileLog.php on line 140
Notice (8): SplFileObject::fwrite() [<a href='https://secure.php.net/splfileobject.fwrite'>splfileobject.fwrite</a>]: Write of 7651 bytes failed with errno=28 No space left on device [CORE/src/Cache/Engine/FileEngine.php, line 141]
SplFileObject::fwrite() - [internal], line ??
Cake\Cache\Engine\FileEngine::set() - CORE/src/Cache/Engine/FileEngine.php, line 141
Cake\I18n\TranslatorRegistry::get() - CORE/src/I18n/TranslatorRegistry.php, line 206
Cake\I18n\I18n::getTranslator() - CORE/src/I18n/I18n.php, line 148
__ - CORE/src/I18n/functions.php, line 45
App\Controller\NewsController::view() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 3420
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 539
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::handle() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 140
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::invoke() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 115
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::handle() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 317
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 77
Cake\Http\Middleware\CsrfProtectionMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/Http/Middleware/CsrfProtectionMiddleware.php, line 174
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 73
Cake\I18n\Middleware\LocaleSelectorMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/I18n/Middleware/LocaleSelectorMiddleware.php, line 61
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 73
Cake\Http\Middleware\BodyParserMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/Http/Middleware/BodyParserMiddleware.php, line 157
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 73
Notice: file_put_contents() [function.file-put-contents]: Write of 2561 bytes failed with errno=28 No space left on device in /www/wwwroot/www.adminso.com/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Log/Engine/FileLog.php on line 140
Notice (8): SplFileObject::fwrite() [<a href='https://secure.php.net/splfileobject.fwrite'>splfileobject.fwrite</a>]: Write of 3642 bytes failed with errno=28 No space left on device [CORE/src/Cache/Engine/FileEngine.php, line 141]
SplFileObject::fwrite() - [internal], line ??
Cake\Cache\Engine\FileEngine::set() - CORE/src/Cache/Engine/FileEngine.php, line 141
Cake\Database\Schema\CachedCollection::describe() - CORE/src/Database/Schema/CachedCollection.php, line 85
Cake\ORM\Table::getSchema() - CORE/src/ORM/Table.php, line 513
Cake\ORM\Table::getPrimaryKey() - CORE/src/ORM/Table.php, line 653
Cake\ORM\Query::_addAssociationsToTypeMap() - CORE/src/ORM/Query.php, line 507
Cake\ORM\Query::contain() - CORE/src/ORM/Query.php, line 462
App\Controller\NewsController::action_() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 6433
App\Controller\NewsController::get_data() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5701
App\Controller\NewsController::action_cache() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5625
App\Controller\NewsController::cache_action() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5281
App\Controller\NewsController::view() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 3436
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 539
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::handle() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 140
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::invoke() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 115
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::handle() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 317
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 77
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Notice (8): SplFileObject::fwrite() [<a href='https://secure.php.net/splfileobject.fwrite'>splfileobject.fwrite</a>]: Write of 920 bytes failed with errno=28 No space left on device [CORE/src/Cache/Engine/FileEngine.php, line 141]
SplFileObject::fwrite() - [internal], line ??
Cake\Cache\Engine\FileEngine::set() - CORE/src/Cache/Engine/FileEngine.php, line 141
Cake\Database\Schema\CachedCollection::describe() - CORE/src/Database/Schema/CachedCollection.php, line 85
Cake\ORM\Table::getSchema() - CORE/src/ORM/Table.php, line 513
Cake\ORM\Query::addDefaultTypes() - CORE/src/ORM/Query.php, line 290
Cake\ORM\Query::__construct() - CORE/src/ORM/Query.php, line 184
Cake\ORM\Table::query() - CORE/src/ORM/Table.php, line 1702
Cake\ORM\Table::find() - CORE/src/ORM/Table.php, line 1263
App\Controller\NewsController::action_() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 6539
App\Controller\NewsController::get_data() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5701
App\Controller\NewsController::action_cache() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5625
App\Controller\NewsController::cache_action() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5281
App\Controller\NewsController::view() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 3436
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 539
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::handle() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 140
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::invoke() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 115
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::handle() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 317
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Notice (8): SplFileObject::fwrite() [<a href='https://secure.php.net/splfileobject.fwrite'>splfileobject.fwrite</a>]: Write of 167 bytes failed with errno=28 No space left on device [CORE/src/Cache/Engine/FileEngine.php, line 141]
SplFileObject::fwrite() - [internal], line ??
Cake\Cache\Engine\FileEngine::set() - CORE/src/Cache/Engine/FileEngine.php, line 141
Cake\Cache\Cache::write() - CORE/src/Cache/Cache.php, line 266
App\Controller\NewsController::action_() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 6766
App\Controller\NewsController::get_data() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5701
App\Controller\NewsController::action_cache() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5625
App\Controller\NewsController::cache_action() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5281
App\Controller\NewsController::view() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 3634
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 539
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::handle() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 140
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::invoke() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 115
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::handle() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 317
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 77
Cake\Http\Middleware\CsrfProtectionMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/Http/Middleware/CsrfProtectionMiddleware.php, line 174
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 73
Cake\I18n\Middleware\LocaleSelectorMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/I18n/Middleware/LocaleSelectorMiddleware.php, line 61
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 73
Notice: file_put_contents() [function.file-put-contents]: Write of 2792 bytes failed with errno=28 No space left on device in /www/wwwroot/www.adminso.com/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Log/Engine/FileLog.php on line 140
Warning (512): long cache was unable to write '260e0d012967034c36df804bb50bab95' to Cake\Cache\Engine\FileEngine cache [CORE/src/Cache/Cache.php, line 275]
Cake\Cache\Cache::write() - CORE/src/Cache/Cache.php, line 275
App\Controller\NewsController::action_() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 6766
App\Controller\NewsController::get_data() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5701
App\Controller\NewsController::action_cache() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5625
App\Controller\NewsController::cache_action() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5281
App\Controller\NewsController::view() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 3634
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 539
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::handle() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 140
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::invoke() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 115
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::handle() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 317
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 77
Cake\Http\Middleware\CsrfProtectionMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/Http/Middleware/CsrfProtectionMiddleware.php, line 174
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 73
Cake\I18n\Middleware\LocaleSelectorMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/I18n/Middleware/LocaleSelectorMiddleware.php, line 61
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 73
Cake\Http\Middleware\BodyParserMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/Http/Middleware/BodyParserMiddleware.php, line 157
Notice: file_put_contents() [function.file-put-contents]: Write of 2587 bytes failed with errno=28 No space left on device in /www/wwwroot/www.adminso.com/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Log/Engine/FileLog.php on line 140
Notice (8): SplFileObject::fwrite() [<a href='https://secure.php.net/splfileobject.fwrite'>splfileobject.fwrite</a>]: Write of 167 bytes failed with errno=28 No space left on device [CORE/src/Cache/Engine/FileEngine.php, line 141]
SplFileObject::fwrite() - [internal], line ??
Cake\Cache\Engine\FileEngine::set() - CORE/src/Cache/Engine/FileEngine.php, line 141
Cake\Cache\Cache::write() - CORE/src/Cache/Cache.php, line 266
App\Controller\NewsController::action_() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 6766
App\Controller\NewsController::get_data() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5701
App\Controller\NewsController::action_cache() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5625
App\Controller\NewsController::cache_action() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5281
App\Controller\NewsController::view() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 3663
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 539
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::handle() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 140
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::invoke() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 115
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::handle() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 317
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 77
Cake\Http\Middleware\CsrfProtectionMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/Http/Middleware/CsrfProtectionMiddleware.php, line 174
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 73
Cake\I18n\Middleware\LocaleSelectorMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/I18n/Middleware/LocaleSelectorMiddleware.php, line 61
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 73
Notice: file_put_contents() [function.file-put-contents]: Write of 2792 bytes failed with errno=28 No space left on device in /www/wwwroot/www.adminso.com/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Log/Engine/FileLog.php on line 140
Warning (512): long cache was unable to write 'fab70fc9e1f7efd45e864efc439850db' to Cake\Cache\Engine\FileEngine cache [CORE/src/Cache/Cache.php, line 275]
Cake\Cache\Cache::write() - CORE/src/Cache/Cache.php, line 275
App\Controller\NewsController::action_() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 6766
App\Controller\NewsController::get_data() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5701
App\Controller\NewsController::action_cache() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5625
App\Controller\NewsController::cache_action() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5281
App\Controller\NewsController::view() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 3663
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 539
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::handle() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 140
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::invoke() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 115
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::handle() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 317
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 77
Cake\Http\Middleware\CsrfProtectionMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/Http/Middleware/CsrfProtectionMiddleware.php, line 174
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 73
Cake\I18n\Middleware\LocaleSelectorMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/I18n/Middleware/LocaleSelectorMiddleware.php, line 61
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 73
Cake\Http\Middleware\BodyParserMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/Http/Middleware/BodyParserMiddleware.php, line 157
Notice: file_put_contents() [function.file-put-contents]: Write of 2587 bytes failed with errno=28 No space left on device in /www/wwwroot/www.adminso.com/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Log/Engine/FileLog.php on line 140
Notice (8): SplFileObject::fwrite() [<a href='https://secure.php.net/splfileobject.fwrite'>splfileobject.fwrite</a>]: Write of 25510 bytes failed with errno=28 No space left on device [CORE/src/Cache/Engine/FileEngine.php, line 141]
SplFileObject::fwrite() - [internal], line ??
Cake\Cache\Engine\FileEngine::set() - CORE/src/Cache/Engine/FileEngine.php, line 141
Cake\Cache\Cache::write() - CORE/src/Cache/Cache.php, line 266
App\Controller\NewsController::action_() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 6766
App\Controller\NewsController::get_data() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5701
App\Controller\NewsController::action_cache() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5493
App\Controller\NewsController::cache_action() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5281
App\Controller\NewsController::view() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 3698
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 539
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::handle() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 140
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::invoke() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 115
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::handle() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 317
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 77
Cake\Http\Middleware\CsrfProtectionMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/Http/Middleware/CsrfProtectionMiddleware.php, line 174
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 73
Cake\I18n\Middleware\LocaleSelectorMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/I18n/Middleware/LocaleSelectorMiddleware.php, line 61
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 73
Notice: file_put_contents() [function.file-put-contents]: Write of 2794 bytes failed with errno=28 No space left on device in /www/wwwroot/www.adminso.com/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Log/Engine/FileLog.php on line 140
Warning (512): 1hours cache was unable to write '0d07135d8a37e309e9653b7a700748c1' to Cake\Cache\Engine\FileEngine cache [CORE/src/Cache/Cache.php, line 275]
Cake\Cache\Cache::write() - CORE/src/Cache/Cache.php, line 275
App\Controller\NewsController::action_() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 6766
App\Controller\NewsController::get_data() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5701
App\Controller\NewsController::action_cache() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5493
App\Controller\NewsController::cache_action() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5281
App\Controller\NewsController::view() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 3698
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 539
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::handle() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 140
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::invoke() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 115
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::handle() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 317
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 77
Cake\Http\Middleware\CsrfProtectionMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/Http/Middleware/CsrfProtectionMiddleware.php, line 174
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 73
Cake\I18n\Middleware\LocaleSelectorMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/I18n/Middleware/LocaleSelectorMiddleware.php, line 61
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 73
Cake\Http\Middleware\BodyParserMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/Http/Middleware/BodyParserMiddleware.php, line 157
Notice: file_put_contents() [function.file-put-contents]: Write of 2589 bytes failed with errno=28 No space left on device in /www/wwwroot/www.adminso.com/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Log/Engine/FileLog.php on line 140
Notice (8): unserialize() [<a href='https://secure.php.net/function.unserialize'>function.unserialize</a>]: Error at offset 90091 of 90101 bytes [APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5571]
unserialize - [internal], line ??
App\Controller\NewsController::action_cache() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5571
App\Controller\NewsController::cache_action() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5281
App\Controller\NewsController::article_show() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 4290
App\Controller\NewsController::view() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 3822
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 539
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::handle() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 140
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::invoke() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 115
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::handle() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 317
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 77
Cake\Http\Middleware\CsrfProtectionMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/Http/Middleware/CsrfProtectionMiddleware.php, line 174
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 73
Cake\I18n\Middleware\LocaleSelectorMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/I18n/Middleware/LocaleSelectorMiddleware.php, line 61
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 73
Cake\Http\Middleware\BodyParserMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/Http/Middleware/BodyParserMiddleware.php, line 157
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 73
Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 161
Notice: file_put_contents() [function.file-put-contents]: Write of 2491 bytes failed with errno=28 No space left on device in /www/wwwroot/www.adminso.com/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Log/Engine/FileLog.php on line 140
Notice (8): unserialize() [<a href='https://secure.php.net/function.unserialize'>function.unserialize</a>]: Error at offset 49133 of 49141 bytes [APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5571]
unserialize - [internal], line ??
App\Controller\NewsController::action_cache() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5571
App\Controller\NewsController::cache_action() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 5281
App\Controller\NewsController::article_show() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 4310
App\Controller\NewsController::view() - APP/Controller/NewsController.php, line 3822
Cake\Controller\Controller::invokeAction() - CORE/src/Controller/Controller.php, line 539
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::handle() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 140
Cake\Controller\ControllerFactory::invoke() - CORE/src/Controller/ControllerFactory.php, line 115
Cake\Http\BaseApplication::handle() - CORE/src/Http/BaseApplication.php, line 317
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 77
Cake\Http\Middleware\CsrfProtectionMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/Http/Middleware/CsrfProtectionMiddleware.php, line 174
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 73
Cake\I18n\Middleware\LocaleSelectorMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/I18n/Middleware/LocaleSelectorMiddleware.php, line 61
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 73
Cake\Http\Middleware\BodyParserMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/Http/Middleware/BodyParserMiddleware.php, line 157
Cake\Http\Runner::handle() - CORE/src/Http/Runner.php, line 73
Cake\Routing\Middleware\RoutingMiddleware::process() - CORE/src/Routing/Middleware/RoutingMiddleware.php, line 161
Notice: file_put_contents() [function.file-put-contents]: Write of 2491 bytes failed with errno=28 No space left on device in /www/wwwroot/www.adminso.com/vendor/cakephp/cakephp/src/Log/Engine/FileLog.php on line 140 The "Trump Trade" Returns as Dollar Soars, Bitcoin Hits New High, and Stocks Continue to Climb - AdminSo
The "Trump Trade" Returns as Dollar Soars, Bitcoin Hits New High, and Stocks Continue to ClimbEarly vote counts in the US election have fueled the "Trump trade," boosting the dollar to its biggest intraday gain in over two years, sending Bitcoin to a record high, lifting stocks further, and driving up US Treasury yields. These market movements largely reflect expectations of a Republican victory
Early vote counts in the US election have fueled the "Trump trade," boosting the dollar to its biggest intraday gain in over two years, sending Bitcoin to a record high, lifting stocks further, and driving up US Treasury yields. These market movements largely reflect expectations of a Republican victory. With over two-thirds of US states reporting, S&P 500 futures are up 1.3%, and the 10-year Treasury yield has climbed 17 basis points to a four-month high of 4.44%.
While voting is still underway, the odds of former President Trump winning are climbing in betting markets and on national prediction websites like DecisionDeskHQ. The market reactions to the "Trump trade" are mainly seen in these areas:
Significant Dollar Surge: The dollar index rose over 1.5% at one point, marking its strongest intraday gain in over two years. Market participants broadly anticipate Trump's policies to be dollar-friendly, including tax cuts, regulatory easing, and aggressive trade policies.
Continued Stock Market Gains: S&P 500 futures are up 1.3%, and Nasdaq 100 futures are up 1.5%. Markets perceive a Republican win as beneficial for stocks, especially those reliant on US economic growth.
Soaring Treasury Yields: The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed 17 basis points to a four-month high of 4.44%. Market expectations of a Republican victory have fueled optimism about US economic growth, leading to decreased demand for US Treasuries and subsequently rising yields.
Bitcoin Hits Record High: Bitcoin prices broke through their all-time high, surpassing $21,000 at some point. The market views Bitcoin as a safe haven asset that could exhibit strong resilience during periods of political uncertainty.
Emerging Market Currencies Under Pressure: The Mexican peso plunged almost 3% to a two-year low, leading the decline in emerging market currencies. The Japanese yen dropped 1.6%, topping the losses among G-10 currencies; the euro, pound sterling, and Australian dollar all depreciated by over 1%. Markets are concerned that Trump's protectionist policies could negatively impact emerging market economies.
Small-Cap Stocks Rise: Given the Republican stance on protectionism, small-cap companies with typical domestic businesses are viewed as potential winners in a Republican victory scenario. Russell 2000 futures are up 3%.
Although vote counts are not yet final, the initial results have already significantly impacted markets. As the voting process continues, market volatility is likely to intensify. Investors need to keep a close eye on the vote counts and how markets react to those results.
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